Practical guide and verification
A fitted line is a model, not proof of causation
Simple linear regression estimates a relationship between variables under a model. A strong slope or high R² does not establish that changing x causes the change in y.
Inspect residuals and influential points
A single line can hide curvature, unequal variance, clusters or influential outliers. Plot the data and residuals rather than judging the model only from the equation and R².
Common mistake
Extrapolating far beyond the observed x range can produce precise-looking but unsupported predictions. The fitted relationship may not continue outside the data used to estimate it.